THIS WEEK
What changed this week in future affordability
A factual changelog from Aspire's committed rate-data refresh. Values are trailing CAGRs at these assumptions, with sources and as-of dates shown.
Moved up
-
S&P 500 Total Return
Previous CAGR at these assumptions15.32%Current CAGR at these assumptions15.59%Move+0.27 pp
S&P 500 Total Return rose 0.27 percentage points from the prior refresh. Source: Yahoo Finance:^SP500TR. As of 2026-06-15.
Moved down
No tracked decrease crossed the refresh threshold.
Other refreshed rows
These rows changed in rates.json but are not tracked as cost-vector movers for this page.
| Row | Previous CAGR | Current CAGR | Move | Source | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 Price Index | 13.40% at these assumptions | 13.67% at these assumptions | +0.27 pp | Yahoo Finance:^GSPC | 2026-06-15 |
Unchanged notables
| Vector | Current CAGR | Source | As of | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of living (CPI) | 3.35% at these assumptions | FRED | 2026-04-01 | 2016-04-01 to 2026-04-01 (10 years) |
| Home — US national (Case-Shiller) | 6.45% at these assumptions | FRED | 2026-03-01 | 2016-03-01 to 2026-03-01 (10 years) |
| Rent — US (CPI rent of primary residence) | 4.23% at these assumptions | BLS CPI-U, Rent of primary residence, U.S. city average, NSA | 2026-05-31 | 2015-12-01 to 2025-12-01 (10 years) |
| Homeowner carrying costs (tax + insurance + upkeep) | 3.60% at these assumptions | Composite — see methodology | 2026-05-31 | 2015-12-01 to 2025-12-01 (10 years) |
| Healthcare | 2.56% at these assumptions | FRED | 2026-04-01 | 2016-04-01 to 2026-04-01 (10 years) |
| Childcare — day care and preschool | 4.83% at these assumptions | BLS CPI-U, Day care and preschool, U.S. city average, NSA | 2026-05-13 | 2021-04-01 to 2026-04-01 (5 years) |
| Private K-12 tuition | 3.65% at these assumptions | BLS API:CUUR0000SEEB02 | 2026-06-15 | 2016-01-01 to 2025-12-01 (9.92 years) |
Sources and method
Trailing compound annual growth rate (CAGR). Most rows use 10-year windows; childcare uses the 5-year methodology source-audit window. Equities/gold/BTC: monthly closes from Yahoo Finance; sp500 uses ^GSPC price-index closes, while sp500_total_return uses ^SP500TR dividends-reinvested total return. CPI sub-indices + national home: FRED/BLS monthly series. Metro-level homes: Zillow ZHVI (single-family, smoothed, seasonally adjusted). Tuition: College Board Trends in College Pricing (annual).
This page reports trailing source data from rates.json. It does not recommend any asset, account, allocation, security, mortgage, insurance product, or financial action.