THIS WEEK
What changed this week in future affordability
A factual changelog from Aspire's committed rate-data refresh. Values are trailing CAGRs at these assumptions, with sources and as-of dates shown.
Moved up
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Home — San Francisco, CA
Previous CAGR at these assumptions3.68%Current CAGR at these assumptions3.75%Move+0.07 pp
Home — San Francisco, CA rose 0.07 percentage points from the prior refresh. Source: Zillow ZHVI. As of 2026-08-17.
Moved down
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Home — Dallas, TX
Previous CAGR at these assumptions5.62%Current CAGR at these assumptions5.52%Move-0.10 pp
Home — Dallas, TX fell 0.10 percentage points from the prior refresh. Source: Zillow ZHVI. As of 2026-08-17.
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Home — Nashville, TN
Previous CAGR at these assumptions6.79%Current CAGR at these assumptions6.69%Move-0.10 pp
Home — Nashville, TN fell 0.10 percentage points from the prior refresh. Source: Zillow ZHVI. As of 2026-08-17.
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Home — Portland, OR
Previous CAGR at these assumptions4.55%Current CAGR at these assumptions4.45%Move-0.10 pp
Home — Portland, OR fell 0.10 percentage points from the prior refresh. Source: Zillow ZHVI. As of 2026-08-17.
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Home — Seattle, WA
Previous CAGR at these assumptions6.38%Current CAGR at these assumptions6.29%Move-0.09 pp
Home — Seattle, WA fell 0.09 percentage points from the prior refresh. Source: Zillow ZHVI. As of 2026-08-17.
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Home — Austin, TX
Previous CAGR at these assumptions3.87%Current CAGR at these assumptions3.79%Move-0.08 pp
Home — Austin, TX fell 0.08 percentage points from the prior refresh. Source: Zillow ZHVI. As of 2026-08-17.
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Home — Charlotte, NC
Previous CAGR at these assumptions7.32%Current CAGR at these assumptions7.24%Move-0.08 pp
Home — Charlotte, NC fell 0.08 percentage points from the prior refresh. Source: Zillow ZHVI. As of 2026-08-17.
Unchanged notables
| Vector | Current CAGR | Source | As of | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of living (CPI) | 3.32% at these assumptions | FRED | 2026-08-17 | 2016-07-01 to 2026-07-01 (10 years) |
| Home — US national (Case-Shiller) | 6.39% at these assumptions | FRED | 2026-08-17 | 2016-05-01 to 2026-05-01 (10 years) |
| Rent — US (CPI rent of primary residence) | 4.20% at these assumptions | BLS CPI-U, Rent of primary residence, U.S. city average, NSA | 2026-08-17 | 2016-07-01 to 2026-07-01 (10 years) |
| Homeowner carrying costs (tax + insurance + upkeep) | 3.60% at these assumptions | Composite — see methodology | 2026-05-31 | 2015-12-01 to 2025-12-01 (10 years) |
| Healthcare | 2.50% at these assumptions | FRED | 2026-08-17 | 2016-07-01 to 2026-07-01 (10 years) |
| Childcare — day care and preschool | 4.67% at these assumptions | BLS CPI-U, Day care and preschool, U.S. city average, NSA | 2026-08-17 | 2021-07-01 to 2026-07-01 (5 years) |
| Private K-12 tuition | 3.70% at these assumptions | BLS API:CUUR0000SEEB02 | 2026-08-17 | 2016-07-01 to 2026-07-01 (10 years) |
| S&P 500 Total Return | 15.08% at these assumptions | Yahoo Finance:^SP500TR | 2026-08-17 | 2016-07-01 to 2026-07-01 (10 years) |
Sources and method
Trailing compound annual growth rate (CAGR). Most rows use 10-year windows; childcare uses the 5-year methodology source-audit window. Equities/gold/BTC: monthly closes from Yahoo Finance; sp500 uses ^GSPC price-index closes, while sp500_total_return uses ^SP500TR dividends-reinvested total return. CPI sub-indices + national home: FRED/BLS monthly series. Metro-level homes: Zillow ZHVI (SFR + condo mid-tier, smoothed, seasonally adjusted). Metro-level rents: Zillow ZORI (all homes + multifamily, smoothed, seasonally adjusted). Tuition: College Board Trends in College Pricing (annual).
This page reports trailing source data from rates.json. It does not recommend any asset, account, allocation, security, mortgage, insurance product, or financial action.